Irene.4

Irene has shifted slightly to the west and the forecast for our area has changed again. It looks like Sat night early Sunday will be the worst;

.Sat...Tropical storm conditions expected with Hurricane conditions
possible. E winds 35 to 45 kt with gusts up to 55 kt...Becoming NE
45 to 55 kt with gusts up to 65 kt this afternoon. Waves around 7 ft...
building to 9 ft this afternoon. Rain and scattered tstms early this
morning...Then widespread showers late this morning. Rain and scattered
tstms this afternoon.
.Sat night...Hurricane conditions expected. NE winds 50 to 70 kt...
becoming NW 55 to 65 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 90 kt. Waves around
12 ft...Building to 15 ft after midnight. Rain and scattered tstms.
.Sun...Tropical storm conditions expected with Hurricane conditions
possible. NW winds 30 to 40 kt with gusts up to 55 kt...Becoming
W 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt this afternoon. Waves around 9
ft...Subsiding to 6 ft this afternoon. Rain and scattered tstms
early this morning.

I have never seen 15" waves in our area of the Bay before. Not something we would like to be in. It is fairly shallow and these waves will have a very short period.Think washing machine on high agitation and that is a good image. Wave heights in the ocean were reported to have been 48'.

The forecast is for 4-5' tidal surge in our area but the direction of the wind will push water out of our cove and into the creek. So we will not have the historic tidal surges that we had with Isabel.
We have completed all of our preparations and have done as much as prudently possible, both on the boat and the house. We will see if we can maintain electrical power but if not our generator is primed and ready to go. My guess is we loose power.